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Friday, May 11, 2007
Rahsia Jutawan Forex Terbongkar!
Bagaimana Mencipta Wang Atas Angin Secara Automatik Melalui Pasaran Matawang Asing
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Rahsia Bagaimana anda mula menjana wang dengan cara yang teramat mudah tanpa anda perlu berbelanja sesen pun..tanpa ada pejabat, tanpa risko yang tinggi dan tanpa perlu anda berpengetahuaan tinggi.
Apa yang hanya anda perlukan ialah cuma DIRI ANDA.. Komputer peribadi ataupun komputer di cybercafe..sambungan internet.. dan kopi macho F1 di perlukan :)
Ini Bukannya Rahsia bagaimana hendak menjadi jutawan internet yang mengajar anda membuat kerja2 menunggu cek datang dari luar negara , mengisi borang survey , tengok iklan lama2 dan lain2 lagi kerja yang membuang masa anda!
Ini ialah Rahsia yang di simpan oleh pakar-pakar pelaburan dan orang-orang kaya.
Rahsia Bagaimana anda mula menjana wang dengan cara yang teramat mudah tanpa anda perlu berbelanja sesen pun..tanpa ada pejabat, tanpa risko yang tinggi dan tanpa perlu anda berpengetahuaan tinggi.
Apa yang hanya anda perlukan ialah cuma DIRI ANDA.. Komputer peribadi ataupun komputer di cybercafe..sambungan internet.. dan kopi macho F1 di perlukan :)
Kalkulator Pivot
Berita Ekonomi
Sila Klik Di Gambar Untuk Melihat Berita Mengenai Saham
Berita yang dipaparkan di sini boleh diterima pakai sebagai rujukan sahaja.Cuma waktu bagi berita ini publish perlu ditambah 12jam bagi menyamai waktu Malaysia. Oleh yang demikian, tarikh bagi hari berikutnya akan refresh pada pukul 12.00 tengah hari waktu Malaysia. Harap maklum
Analisis Fundamental Mingguan
Technical Analysis of foreign exchange markets
Daily Outlooks
Euro-Dollar
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th EUR-1.3480 Thursday
1.3570/ST/1.3480 Euro is now pressing secondary sup at 1.3480
1.3625/MT/1.3415 level. As this holds there is still a chance
1.3670/LT/1.3365 for upside break of 1.3560 to reset uptrend.
---------------- Honoring the brk of upchannel sup at 1.3520
increases threat to the 1.3415 to confirm start of new downtrend
Dollar –Yen
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th YEN-120.10 Thursday
120.75/ST/119.50 As the break to new highs thus far lacks up-
121.30/MT/118.80 side momentum, we still have to respect the
122.20/LT/117.60 view of a larger 122-115 consol triangle. Be
---------------- wary of any downside break of 119.50 to con-
firm 2-3 wks swing back to 116.50. Over 121.00 injects momentum.
Cable
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th STG-1.9780 Thursday
1.9880/ST/1.9780 The breach of the former 1.9820 high suggsts
2.0000/MT/1.9620 a larger reversal process is beginning early
2.0130/LT/1.9540 As minor reactions at this point fail 1.9880
---------------- expect the initial decline to test 1.9620 b4
upside reaction. Ultimately this decline may well retest 1.9150.
Dollar-Swiss
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th SFR-1.2195 Thursday
1.2220/ST/1.2135 Upside break of the 1.2195 high appears to
1.2280/MT/1.2080 be failing. However, considering the length
1.2355/LT/1.1995 of the 1.2140-90 consol process there is a
---------------- chance to clear 1.2180 and confirm reversal
to 1.2565. Sup at 1.2140 base shud hold or prolong ratchet lower
Daily Cross Outlooks
EURO-YEN
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th ERY-162.25 Thursday
163.60/ST/161.90 Euro Yen has retraced to the 161.90 s/t pivt
165.00/MT/160.80 and shd now recover to signal a final high
165.80/LT/159.65 to 164.30 prob 165. However, the momentum
---------------- loss is clear begging a period of consol in
a 160-165 range and therefore a better later buying opp at 160.
STERLING-YEN
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th STY-238.70 Thursday
239.80/ST/238.00 While 238.00 holds, Stg still has room to
241.50/MT/236.50 challenge the 241.50 m/t high. Altho a rally
243.10/LT/235.10 thru 239.80 confirms this move and poss an
---------------- extension to 243, we doubt uptrend can be
sustained without correction to 235.10-50, triggered by 238 loss
EURO-STERLING
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th EST-68.10 Thursday
0.6840/ST/0.6780 Euro Stg has a window to end consol with a
0.6860/MT/0.6745 test/break of the recent 67.45 low. Since
0.6910/LT/0.6680 this wd confirm the long awaited 66.50
---------------- retracement trgt, stay short or sell rallies
expecting 68.40-60 to cap. Break wd reverse and signal 69.50 min
EURO-SWISS
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th ESF-1.6485 Thursday
1.6530/ST/1.6440 No change as Euro remains in pivotal 1.6440-
1.6580/MT/1.6400 1.6530 consol range. Altho this maintains
1.6580/LT/1.6310 the prospect of a spike up to the 1.6580 tgt
---------------- we doubt uptrend can be sustained without a
correction to 1.6310-50 sooner or later, triggerd by 1.6440 loss
DOLLAR-CANADA
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th CAD-1.1050 Thursday
1.1090/ST/1.1000 The s/t downtrend has lost momentum begging
1.1140/MT/1.0950 a period of consol in an approx 1.0950-1.13
1.1250/LT/1.0900 range. Altho this implies a chance to spike
---------------- 1.10, we wd rather either buy this dip or
wait to sell a rally thru 1.145 to 1.12 for an eventual 1.0800.
AUSSIE-DOLLAR
RESIS. / SUPPORT Thu/Fri, May 11th AUD-83.10 Thursday
83.50 /ST/ 82.70 Aussie has likely completed the first leg of
83.95 /MT/ 82.20 a new uptrend at 83.35. Altho this suggests
85.00 /LT/ 81.70 48hrs consol and a retracement to 82.30-50,
---------------- look to buy this drop for a break up to
attack the 83.95 high en route the 86 m/t trgt. Loss 81.70 revs.
Capital Management is solely responsible for the information contained in this document. The opinions given are not intended and should not be relied upon as fact or as giving any assurance of what will or is likely to happen
Kaedah Trading Ke Empat
I Would Like To Share Something Very Important With You:
A lot of traders are looking at the Yen crosses because they can move alot. Here's how they move:
The price of G/J = U/J X G/U
The price of E/J = U/J X E/U
ETC
So the way it works is very simple-the $ has to be gaining on the GBP while losing on the JPY or vice versa to catch the really big moves in the G/J. Same with the other crosses.
Everyone should sit down themselves and play with the permutations, but here's a couple:
Let's say you want to trade the G/J from a $+ NFP Here's what happens:
U/J and G/U will move inversely (as they do most of the time anyway) as the $ strengthens. However the G/J WILL LOSE PIPS on the move if let's say the $ gains 100 pips against the G, but only 40 on J.
If G/U and U/J lose and gain the same # of pips-you'll get less pips on the G/J then you would have trading either the G/U or U/J.
If the $ gains more vs. the J then vs. the G-you'll get more pips trading the G/J then then G/U or U/J.
You must use a lot of discretion to trade the G/J or any of the crosses in this situation because mathematically speaking, the crosses can gain OR lose pips on a $+ OR $- NFP (Or any other US news report for that matter). Also, the crosses will gain less pips if the $ move is equal against the J and its counterpart as compared to trading the counterpart (or U/J) itself. The G/J will gain more pips if the move is bigger vs the J then the G. An example of this is below.
Now look at the daily charts for FEB 27-you'll see the G/U and U/J moved together (down). That's rare and that's why G/J lost a much larger # of pips then either-simple arithmatic. When the markets crashed-they sold the $ vs Yen and bought the $ vs GBP. The same thing happened with all the crosses. Or you can look at it this way: The unwinding of carry trades involved the simultaneous selling of the $ vs. the JPY and buying of the $ vs. its counterpart (GBP,EUR etc).
So if you want the big pips on the G/J or any of the crosses-you need to trade when the $ is simultaneously moving the opposite way vs the Yen then it is on its counterpart. For example the BoJ looks to be raising rates at the same time that the BoE looks to be holding or cutting-like a day when Tokyo CPI is up and UK CPI is down. Here's an example:
Tokyp CPI comes put strong and U/J goes from 118.50 to 117.75 UK CPI comes out weak and G/U goes from 1.9650 to 1.9600
G/J start of day price 118.50 x 1.9650 = 232.85 G/J end of day price 117.75 x 1.9600 = 230.79
Difference = -206 pips for the G/J
There are many other things to be aware of as well. Going back to the example when the $ is set to strengthen you must be aware of what i'm going to explain in order to have a better idea of how the cross you are trading (G/J for my examples) is going to move.
G/U is a smaller number then U/J, e.g. 1.960 is a smaller number then 118.50. In percentage, the same move in pips represents a larger percentage for the G/U then the U/J.
Now in the case when the $ is set to strengthen against both GBP and JPY-if the $ strengthens 100 pips vs the GBP but only 40 on the JPY-the G/J will LOSE PIPS.
Start of day G/U 1.9650
Start of day U/J 118.50
Start of day G/J 232.85 (U/J x G/U)
End of day G/U 1.9550
End of day U/J 118.90
End of day G/J 232.44 G/J has lost 41 pips on a day of $+ sentiment.
Let's see what happens the other way ($ gaining more pips on Jpy then GBP)
Start of day G/U 1.9650
Start of day U/J 118.50
Start of day G/J 232.85 (U/J x G/U)
End of day G/U 1.9630
End of day U/J 119.50
End of day G/J 234.57- G/J gains 172 pips on a day of $+ sentiment.
So again, you must use a lot of discretion to trade a JPY cross directly off a US news report because it can gain OR lose with the same $ sentiment and it will gain less pips on an equal move vs the $'s counterpart.
From a fundamental standpoint, when could a cross lose pips with the same $+ sentiment?
Let's say there's been some recent JPY+ news (like personal consumption, which is the number everyone is looking at). We know that due to the Japanese deflationary situation and from what the BoJ has said they definately want to be able to raise rates and will do so if the data allows it. On a day with a strong NFP, the $ would likely gain on the JPY but the gain could possibly be muted.
Now let's say at the same time, knowing that the BoE doesn't want to raise rates further (because they've said they expect inflation to go down this year) some recent GBP- news has come out (like a lower CPI or retail sales number). In this case, the $'s gain against the GBP might be amplified.
In this situation a cross might very well lose pips because the $'s gain against the GBP will be greater then its gain agaisnt the JPY.
A lot of traders are looking at the Yen crosses because they can move alot. Here's how they move:
The price of G/J = U/J X G/U
The price of E/J = U/J X E/U
ETC
So the way it works is very simple-the $ has to be gaining on the GBP while losing on the JPY or vice versa to catch the really big moves in the G/J. Same with the other crosses.
Everyone should sit down themselves and play with the permutations, but here's a couple:
Let's say you want to trade the G/J from a $+ NFP Here's what happens:
U/J and G/U will move inversely (as they do most of the time anyway) as the $ strengthens. However the G/J WILL LOSE PIPS on the move if let's say the $ gains 100 pips against the G, but only 40 on J.
If G/U and U/J lose and gain the same # of pips-you'll get less pips on the G/J then you would have trading either the G/U or U/J.
If the $ gains more vs. the J then vs. the G-you'll get more pips trading the G/J then then G/U or U/J.
You must use a lot of discretion to trade the G/J or any of the crosses in this situation because mathematically speaking, the crosses can gain OR lose pips on a $+ OR $- NFP (Or any other US news report for that matter). Also, the crosses will gain less pips if the $ move is equal against the J and its counterpart as compared to trading the counterpart (or U/J) itself. The G/J will gain more pips if the move is bigger vs the J then the G. An example of this is below.
Now look at the daily charts for FEB 27-you'll see the G/U and U/J moved together (down). That's rare and that's why G/J lost a much larger # of pips then either-simple arithmatic. When the markets crashed-they sold the $ vs Yen and bought the $ vs GBP. The same thing happened with all the crosses. Or you can look at it this way: The unwinding of carry trades involved the simultaneous selling of the $ vs. the JPY and buying of the $ vs. its counterpart (GBP,EUR etc).
So if you want the big pips on the G/J or any of the crosses-you need to trade when the $ is simultaneously moving the opposite way vs the Yen then it is on its counterpart. For example the BoJ looks to be raising rates at the same time that the BoE looks to be holding or cutting-like a day when Tokyo CPI is up and UK CPI is down. Here's an example:
Tokyp CPI comes put strong and U/J goes from 118.50 to 117.75 UK CPI comes out weak and G/U goes from 1.9650 to 1.9600
G/J start of day price 118.50 x 1.9650 = 232.85 G/J end of day price 117.75 x 1.9600 = 230.79
Difference = -206 pips for the G/J
There are many other things to be aware of as well. Going back to the example when the $ is set to strengthen you must be aware of what i'm going to explain in order to have a better idea of how the cross you are trading (G/J for my examples) is going to move.
G/U is a smaller number then U/J, e.g. 1.960 is a smaller number then 118.50. In percentage, the same move in pips represents a larger percentage for the G/U then the U/J.
Now in the case when the $ is set to strengthen against both GBP and JPY-if the $ strengthens 100 pips vs the GBP but only 40 on the JPY-the G/J will LOSE PIPS.
Start of day G/U 1.9650
Start of day U/J 118.50
Start of day G/J 232.85 (U/J x G/U)
End of day G/U 1.9550
End of day U/J 118.90
End of day G/J 232.44 G/J has lost 41 pips on a day of $+ sentiment.
Let's see what happens the other way ($ gaining more pips on Jpy then GBP)
Start of day G/U 1.9650
Start of day U/J 118.50
Start of day G/J 232.85 (U/J x G/U)
End of day G/U 1.9630
End of day U/J 119.50
End of day G/J 234.57- G/J gains 172 pips on a day of $+ sentiment.
So again, you must use a lot of discretion to trade a JPY cross directly off a US news report because it can gain OR lose with the same $ sentiment and it will gain less pips on an equal move vs the $'s counterpart.
From a fundamental standpoint, when could a cross lose pips with the same $+ sentiment?
Let's say there's been some recent JPY+ news (like personal consumption, which is the number everyone is looking at). We know that due to the Japanese deflationary situation and from what the BoJ has said they definately want to be able to raise rates and will do so if the data allows it. On a day with a strong NFP, the $ would likely gain on the JPY but the gain could possibly be muted.
Now let's say at the same time, knowing that the BoE doesn't want to raise rates further (because they've said they expect inflation to go down this year) some recent GBP- news has come out (like a lower CPI or retail sales number). In this case, the $'s gain against the GBP might be amplified.
In this situation a cross might very well lose pips because the $'s gain against the GBP will be greater then its gain agaisnt the JPY.
Kaedah Trading Ke Tiga
SWING TRADING
I have been asked in a few chat rooms what strategy do i use for swing trades.Therefore i decided to share this strategy of mine to anyone who is interested.
Average 300-400 pips a month.
Things you need:
1) Daily Chart on GBP/USD
2) 4 hours Chart on GBP/USD
3) Slow Stochatics (13,5,5) on both charts
4) EMA 4, EMA13, EMA50 on the 4 hours chart
Look at 4 hours chart
Entry:
When the EMA4 first cross the EMA50 follow by EMA13 cross the EMA50, with a new open candle, place your entry with a stop loss of 50pips.
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